Software fashion
Couple of thoughts about ongoing trends in software and our collective mid-term future as an industry.
Bubbles
Many people talk about AI bubble that’s gotten way out of proportion. And apparently it’s gonna burst badly.
I’m skeptical. Remember what else was a giant bubble? Crypto.
Yet here we are, 8 years later and in spite of very few actually useful (imo!) applications, crypto world is still very much alive. Or did it just deflate a bit before bursting in unison? Don’t know, but that’s the point, what looks like it’s obviously will crash in a year, might, due to amazing world randomness, have decades of steam in it.
If it eventually pops, i hope we grow wiser about our expectations (probably won’t).
Trend predition #1: there’ll be more laws regulating stock market and venture capital, broader definition of conflict of interest.
Mental health
Unfortunately, a lot of software we build these days is primarily designed to extract, and then maybe solve. It shortens attention span, decreases ability to judge for ourselves, it promotes content that has as little substance as viable and it removes a lot of learning incentives. We may have many problems in 10 years due to this, but also a lot of wasted potential.
Trend predition #2: new types of mental disorders and rehabilitation industries. Might be a great time to get into psychology?
